Tinkerers Labs

Impact

This isn't a bubble.

AI is eating venture capital, enterprise software, and developer tooling. These are today's numbers, not projections.

Last updated July 2026

Market

$0.00T

Worldwide AI spending this year — up 47% from last year

Gartner

$0B

Global venture funding in H1 2026 — more than all of 2025 ($440B), a record for any half-year

Crunchbase

0%

Share of Q2 2026 global venture dollars that went to AI — was under 50% a year earlier

Crunchbase

$0B

Raised by OpenAI and Anthropic alone — 43% of every startup dollar in H1 2026

Crunchbase

Global AI venture funding — H1 2026 alone beat all of 2025 (Q1's $242B plus ~70% of Q2's $205B)

Crunchbase
2023
$97B
2024
$131B
2025
$259B
H1 '26
~$387B

Adoption

0M

MCP SDK monthly downloads — was 100K 16 months earlier

MCP Dev Summit

0%

Enterprise AI teams running MCP-backed agents in production

Enterprise MCP survey

0%

Enterprise apps embedding agents this year, up from <5% last year

Gartner

0.0M

GitHub Copilot paid subscribers, up 75% YoY — 90% of Fortune 100

GitHub / Panto

MCP SDK monthly downloads

Pento / MCP Dev Summit
Nov 2024
100K
Jun 2025
20M
Nov 2025
97M
Apr 2026
110M

Revenue

Current run rates from companies building with and for AI agents, sorted by revenue. Disclosed figures where companies publish them, estimates marked as such. No projections.

AnthropicJun 2026, est. Last disclosed: $47B in May, $9B end of 2025.
OpenAIFeb 2026. 900M+ weekly ChatGPT users.
$25BSacra
Claude CodeMay 2026, est. Was $1B in Nov 2025.
CursorJun 2026. Being acquired by SpaceX for $60B.
GitHub CopilotEst. — Microsoft doesn't disclose. 4.7M paid subs.
$451–848MPanto
CognitionMay 2026. Devin + Windsurf. $26B valuation.
$492MSacra

Productivity

From Anthropic's Economic Index — 100K real Claude conversations analyzed.

0%

Average task time reduction with Claude

Anthropic

$0

Average labor cost per task — reduced to minutes with AI

Anthropic

0%

Of Claude usage is software engineering — the dominant category

Anthropic Economic Index

57 / 43

Augmentation vs automation split — most AI usage enhances humans, doesn't replace them

Anthropic Economic Index

The emerging stack

Companies and protocols building infrastructure where the customer is an AI agent. Over 40% of recent YC batches are agent infrastructure.

ConwayPermissionless compute for AIParallelWeb search APIs for agentsBrowserbaseCloud browsers for agents ($67.5M raised)E2BSandboxed code executionSkyfireAgent payment rails (Visa partner)StackOneEnterprise app integrations (GV-backed)ComposioTool auth for agents (200+ app integrations)LettaAgent memory and state (ex-MemGPT)KernelYC S25Open-source infra for agents to use the webAlterYC S25Zero-trust identity for agent workflowsDedalus LabsYC S25Vercel for AI agents — build, deploy, hostAgentic FabriqYC W26Okta for agents — identity and governanceCovalYC S24Agent testing and evaluationBrowser UseYC W25Open-source web agent framework (50K+ stars)MCPOpen protocol for agent tools (Anthropic, now Linux Foundation)A2AAgent-to-agent protocol (Google, 50+ partners)